July Virtual Meeting


Hurricanes:  Focus on the Impacts, Not the Cone


Dan Noah, Meteorologist for the National Weather Service


July 29th, 2020

11:30-12:00 Discussion of GTBACP moving forward and moment of Silence for Stephen Elliot

12:00-1:00 Presentation

Registration Details

Free to attend

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Presentation Information

Improvements in forecasting the path of tropical cyclones have led to a large decrease in the size of the forecast cone over the last 15 years.  The forecast cone shows where the center of the storm is likely to be found, but the impacts can extend well beyond the cone. How many people remember the 2017 Hurricane Irma storm surge flooding parts of Jacksonville even though the center of the storm was well to the west?  Impacts from storm surge can be one of the hardest forecasts to make as numerous factors combine to create the surge.  Preparedness decisions related to storm surge are better decided using storm surge potential rather than a single deterministic surge value due to forecast uncertainty and the destructive nature of storm surge. Flooding rain can extend well outside of the forecast cone as citizens of St Petersburg and Clearwater experienced during 2012 Tropical Storm Debby.  What impacts could Floridians expect if 2017 Hurricane Harvey stalled across the State and dropped five feet of rain?  Finally, the storm has passed and people are anxious to get their life back to normal.  However, the threat isn't over.  Some storms have more fatalities after the storm than during the storm.  Find out what you can do to communicate tropical threats and encourage preparedness among your employees. 

Dan has been a meteorologist with the National Weather Service (NWS) for 31 years and serves as the principal interface between the local Forecast Office and the users of NWS products and Services. He leads the effort to ensure their evaluation, adjustment, and improvement. Dan has been a member of the Florida Governor’s Hurricane Conference Program Committee since 2006 where he organizes and teaches in training and workshops. Dan has experienced the aftermath of hurricanes, most recently during a damage survey in the Florida Panhandle after 2018 Category 5 Hurricane Michael.


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City of Tampa Works to Flatten the Curve Using Trending Digital Tools

Tampa, Fla. (March 22, 2020) – In an effort to keep all residents informed on coronavirus, the City of Tampa is using its full tool belt of communication tools to effectively reach audiences of all ages.

In addition to Facebook, Twitter & a new COVID-19 web platform, the City of Tampa is reaching its audiences via:

  • New influencer marketing campaign, #HappyAtHomeTPA, on Instagram Stories, collaborating with Tampa Bay’s top creators to share activities while social distancing. To participate, simply tag #HappyAtHomeTPA and @cityoftampa in an Instagram Story. 
  • //www.tiktok.com/@cityoftampa?u_code=dab41d0ig511f3&preview_pb=0&;language=en&timestamp=1580583970&utm_campaign=client_share&app=musically&utm_medium=ios&user_id=6782268384840696837&tt_from=copy&utm_source=copy&source=h5_m">TikTok videos, featuring Mayor Jane Castor, Tampa Police Department & Tampa Fire Rescue
  • Spotify playlist, featuring songs with a social distance theme.
  • Video PSAs, featuring Mayor Jane Castor with four key steps to flatten the curve

Residents are also encouraged to text TAMPAREADY or TAMPALISTA to 888-777 for emergency alerts and TAMPABIZ to 888-777 for business relief alerts. 


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